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Tue May 12 06:00:01 EDT 2020
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Slept from eleven to seven.
Not as cool.
Sunny.
Highs in the mid 50s.
West winds 5 to 15 mph.
Work
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- Respond to Lori's litany
Done.
- 11 AM discuss validation plan
Done.
- Arrange delivery for FL router
Done.
- Patch Tuesday
Done, for the moment.
- Follow up on Village Squire phones
Done.
- Send Heidi office access logs
Done.
- Review invoices
A little.
Thirty-minute walk at lunch.
Sunny, blue sky.
Warmer.
Saw a pair of robins and a pair of deer.
And a woodpecker.
Bob and Julie are both in the office again.
Home
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Fifteen-minute walk after work.
Saw a crow, saw and heard a morning dove.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=23143224
New Abbott SARS-CoV-2 antibody test has 99.90% specificity and 100% sensitivity
https://forward.ny.gov/regional-monitoring-dashboard
- 14-day decline in hospitalizations
- 14-day decline in deaths (or < 5 deaths)
- ≥ 30% available hospital beds
— Diagnostic Testing Capacity. Average daily diagnostic testing over the past 7 days must be sufficient to conduct 30 tests per 1,000 residents per month.
NY wants weekly tests equal to 3% of it's population, if I'm interpreting that right.
Michigan's population is about 10MM.
10000000/1000*30/7
So, by that standard, we'd want 42,857 tests per day in Michigan.
US new tests (We want at least 500,000–5,000,000 tests per day.):
202,233 → 230,442 → 220,522 → 305,118 → 253,431 → 248,125 → 231,812 → 259,150 → 215,443 → 318,720 → 303,275 → 300,842 → 277,894 → 394,711 → 306,581 (today)
(three-day averages: 217732 268891 235468 307612 326395)
US new deaths:
2198 → 2700 → 2041 → 1793 → 1651 → 1158 → 938 → 2527 → 1949 → 2746 → 1760 → 1529 → 979 → 837 → 1510 (today)
(three-day averages: 2313 1534 1805 2012 1109)
MI new tests today (How many tests do we want? 42,000 per day, maybe.):
7045 → 7547 → 7915 → 10238 → 11204 → 10823 → 9661 → 643 → 10395 → 13,831 → 13,191 → 13,233 → 12192 → 13,270 → 8942 (today)
(three-day averages: 7502 10755 6900 13418 11468)
MI new tests positive percentage (We want 10% or less.):
15% → 15% → 12% → 10% → 8% → 5% → 2% → 70% → 6% → 4% → 5% → 3% → 3% → 2% → 6% (today)
(three-day averages: 14 8 26 4 4)
MI new deaths:
160 → 103 → 119 → 77 → 154 → 29 → 86 → 130 → 71 → 93 → 50 → 133 → 25 → 33 → 90 (today)
(three-day averages: 127 87 96 92 49)
Oakland county new deaths:
13 → 8 → 17 → 11 → 15 → 6 → 12 → 7 → 7 → 15 → 9 → 4 → 5 → 6 → 3 (today)
(three-day averages: 9 11 9 9 5)
Beaumont 4/23: COVID-19 patients: 701; COVID-19 ICU patients: 174; all patients bed occupancy: 57%
Beaumont 4/27: COVID-19 patients: 613; COVID-19 ICU patients: 237; all patients bed occupancy: 66%
Beaumont 4/30: COVID-19 patients: 559; COVID-19 ICU patients: 248; all patients bed occupancy: 71%
Beaumont 5/04: COVID-19 patients: 449; COVID-19 ICU patients: 226; all patients bed occupancy: 70%
Beaumont 5/07: COVID-19 patients: 408; COVID-19 ICU patients: 202; all patients bed occupancy: 72%
Beaumont 5/11: COVID-19 patients: 322; COVID-19 ICU patients: 185; all patients bed occupancy: 70%
Servings: grains 6/6, fruit 1/4, vegetables 2/4, dairy 2/2, meat 3/3, nuts 0/0.5
Brunch: banana, tomatoes, egg and cheese wrap, coffee
Lunch: avocado and salami wrap
Dinner: Cheetos, ramen
-33
116/70
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