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Thu Jan 7 06:00:01 EST 2021 ======================================== Slept from ten-thirty to seven. Slept somewhat fitfully after four-thirty. Cloudy. Slight chance of flurries early in the morning. Near steady temperature in the lower 30s. North winds 5 to 10 mph. Work: - 11 AM market rent call Done. - Check status of backup to new media Done. - Review Newegg invoices (email 12/15 3:50 PM) No. - Review credit card statement No. - Start preparing morning Randy to-do list at end of day Done. Twenty-minute walk at lunch. Saw a pair of small woodpeckers and a sharp-shinned hawk. Despite my not being trilled to be back from vacation, this week has gone by fast. Thought today was Wednesday. Home: - Order groceries Deliver 5–7 PM. - Add tile/link on paulgorman.org home page to https://paulgorman.org/software/utf8paint/ Done. - Work on ship rules for Sparks in the Void Some. - Go to bed not late https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/12/virus-mutation-catastrophe/617531/ > To understand the difference between exponential and linear risks, consider an example put forth by Adam Kucharski, a professor at the London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine who focuses on mathematical analyses of infectious-disease outbreaks. Kucharski compares a 50 percent increase in virus lethality to a 50 percent increase in virus transmissibility. Take a virus reproduction rate of about 1.1 and an infection fatality risk of 0.8 percent and imagine 10,000 active infections—a plausible scenario for many European cities, as Kucharski notes. As things stand, with those numbers, we’d expect 129 deaths in a month. If the fatality rate increased by 50 percent, that would lead to 193 deaths. In contrast, a 50 percent increase in transmissibility would lead to a whopping 978 deaths in just one month—assuming, in both scenarios, a six-day infection-generation time. > So how much more transmissible? We aren’t completely sure yet, but the initial estimates from the data suggest that this variant could be about 50 to 70 percent more transmissible than regular COVID-19. https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2021/01/attempted-coup/617570/ Nice. > While the mob overran security, Republicans were casting doubt on the outcome of the election in the House and Senate. Senator Ted Cruz sent a fundraising text boasting about his attempt to overturn the election in the midst of the melee. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/reporter-senate-evacuated/2021/01/06/3e7d5456-5061-11eb-83e3-322644d82356_story.html > Inside the Senate’s secure location, one senior officer ordered a set of underlings to go secure Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.), a double amputee who lost both legs while serving in the Iraq War. She was hiding in her office three floors above, fearful of letting anyone in. The senior officer gave specific instructions of what to yell: “Senator Duckworth, Senator Klobuchar said come to the door.” > Pressure mounted on the few Republicans who had been objecting to counting Biden’s electoral college votes, giving life to the mob’s delusions of four more years for Trump. Just before 5 p.m., Sen. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) led a contingent of GOP objectors into a separate room to discuss whether to go forward with their challenge in light of the mob violence. Servings: grains 8/6, fruit 1/4, vegetables 1/4, dairy 2/2, meat 1/3, nuts 1/0.5 Brunch: carrots, pear, coffee Lunch: nachos and beans Dinner: soup, cheese curls

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