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Thu Aug 13 06:00:01 EDT 2020
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Slept from ten-thirty to six-thirty.
Mostly sunny.
Highs in the upper 80s.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Fifteen-minute walk in the morning.
Sunny.
Saw two blue jays, three crows, and three mourning doves.
Work
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- Run PO export from Yardi
Done.
- Split up Yardi export files by property
Done.
- Ask Lori about ring group
She's been on the phone all day. I emailed her.
- Call Jim and Sherri about QA ring group?
Talked to Jim a bit, but nothing to tell him yet.
- Email properties about loss of Yardi access
Done.
- Work on lockbox utility
No.
Home
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Vacuumed.
https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-020-02278-5
> If immunity to the virus lasts less than a year, for example, similar to other human coronaviruses in circulation, there could be annual surges in COVID-19 infections through to 2025 and beyond. Here, Nature explores what the science says about the months and years to come.
> But exactly how much contact tracing and isolation is required to contain an outbreak effectively? An analysis by the Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group at the LSHTM simulated fresh outbreaks of varying contagiousness, starting from 5, 20 or 40 introduced cases. The team concluded that contact tracing must be rapid and extensive — tracing 80% of contacts within a few days — to control an outbreak.
> Tracing 80% of contacts could be near-impossible to achieve in regions still grappling with thousands of new infections a week — and worse, even the highest case counts are likely to be an underestimate. A June preprint1 from a Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) team in Cambridge analysing COVID-19 testing data from 84 countries suggests that global infections were 12 times higher and deaths 50% higher than officially reported (see ‘Predicting cases and deaths’). “There are many more cases out there than the data indicate. As a consequence, there’s higher risk of infection than people may believe there to be,” says John Sterman, co-author of the study and director of the MIT System Dynamics Group.
> It is clear now that summer does not uniformly stop the virus, but warm weather might make it easier to contain in temperate regions. In areas that will get colder in the second half of 2020, experts think there is likely to be an increase in transmission.
> Another possibility is that immunity to SARS-CoV-2 is permanent. In that case, even without a vaccine, it is possible that after a world-sweeping outbreak, the virus could burn itself out and disappear by 2021. However, if immunity is moderate, lasting about two years, then it might seem as if the virus has disappeared, but it could surge back as late as 2024, the Harvard team found.
Looking out the window at the trees, remembering the tree fort Dad build, and missing him.
Servings: grains 1/6, fruit 2/4, vegetables 2/4, dairy 1/2, meat 2/3, nuts 0/0.5
Brunch: cucumber, banana, coffee
Lunch: egg and bean wrap, orange
Dinner: Cheetos
-31
112/70
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