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Thu Apr 2 06:00:01 EDT 2020
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Slept from ten-thirty to six-thirty.
Sunny.
Highs in the mid 50s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Work
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- Update unit rents in Yardi
Done.
- Figure out Entrata rents, unit types, spaces(?)
Done-ish.
- 3 PM Entrata vendor call
Done.
- Open Bullseye ticket about RG
Unnecessary.
Thirty-minute walk at lunch.
Blue sky.
Red cardinal.
Ventured into Beverly Park.
Several people out walking.
Saw a turkey vulture, robins, grackles, and a red-tailed hawk.
The city has cordoned off all the playground/exercise equipment in the park and at the school with caution tape.
Someone's model rocket hung in a tree over the baseball outfield by its parachute cord.
Walking back through the interstitial wood, I noticed a toad in the leaf litter!
Home
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- Meditate after work
Done.
I need a way to recharge after work.
Meditation?
Meditation maybe helped a bit to recharge me after work.
Will try again.
https://www.statnews.com/2020/04/01/navigating-covid-19-pandemic/
> It is very possible that after this first wave subsides, we will still have a largely susceptible population, though that depends on how well the social distancing works. Effective treatments and increased ICU capacity could reduce the demand for critical care, lightning the load on the health system, but again, these measures only delay things.
> If the SARS-CoV-2 virus has a contagiousness of three, meaning every case infects three other people, then we won’t get to the end of the epidemic until two-thirds of the population has become immune by infection or by vaccination. Successful control of the first peak of infections could leave a majority (perhaps a large majority) of the U.S. population still susceptible to the virus.
> There are several broad ideas for how to get to dry land, which is widespread immunity in the population. But each has enormous problems.
> One way is to let up on social distancing soon and let the epidemic run its course. That would lead to many deaths and completely overwhelm health care systems around the country. Another way is to maintain intense social distancing until there is a vaccine — but the arrival of a vaccine is uncertain and, absent a miracle, will likely take more than a year. Meanwhile, society and the economy would suffer.
> If the first wave really is controlled, another option would be to try multiple rounds of social distancing: instituting it to bring the epidemic under control then letting up, perhaps only in certain areas, to allow cases to occur and immunity to accumulate gradually in the population, and then again introducing another round of social distancing. Our model of this process shows that it would take multiple rounds and would be challenging to accomplish without errors that lead to ICU overload. It would also be difficult to maintain the political and social will to implement this.
> The most ambitious approach would be to intensify social distancing and scale up testing until we have the ability to know about nearly every case of Covid-19, trace his or her contacts, and control the spread of the disease one case at a time. This, though, is hard to envision.
Chatted with Jay and Ed for a while on Jitsi.
Michigan COVID-19 cases: 1457 new, 10791 total
Deaths: 80 new, 417 total
Oakland country: 2227 cases, 120 deaths
Michigan's rate of increase: 119% → 125% → 420% → 163% → 143% → 132% → 128% → 134% → 124% → 129% → 128% → 127% → 118% → 118% → 117% → 123% → 115% (today).
Global COVID-19: 998,047 total, 51,335 deaths, 208,630 recovered
Oakland country ranked #20 (#19 yesterday).
Servings: grains 7/6, fruit 2/4, vegetables 1/4, dairy 5/2, meat 3/3, nuts 0/0.5
Brunch: coffee, egg wrap, pineapple
Lunch: carrots, sandwich
Afternoon snack: banana, green tea
Dinner: left-over pizza
125/79
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